Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Felting A Long Change Of Crochet

My analysis


After the vote in any party responsible assesses what happened to understand the company and what future to choose for themselves.

From my point of view we must analyze the vote on separate plans, the local, the provincial, regional and finally national level. To compare the data from this session I think the vote in the 2009 European one for which the comparison is more reliable than the opinions of the electorate and move to vote: the vote of the current regional comparisons (which may be considered a national election because of the number of voters to vote across the country) with that of the administration of last year can divert attention from a good analysis. E 'is in fact clear how local elections are other variables to vote against a policy adopted on a regional or national worse, because other factors affect the administration than its policies, as the popularity and credibility as a candidate for mayor or council , by any coalition. Starting

the significant results from the local are many: The

PD, and the coalition Errani, keep well in the municipalities of the province (of Rimini speak clearly after), even in Catholic Santarcangelo Riccione and the consensus of our party maintains or is strengthened. All three municipalities are led by mayors of the PD, the first term and chosen through the primaries, so we can assess the support for the center-left as a good evaluation of the first 10 months of government. The results of the primaries for the selection of auditors are then interpreted as a real neighborhood of the winning candidate in civil society, and not just the party, a civil society in this case able to select great directors and not mere figures of elections.

Despite internal tensions, probably born in the post-primary, that at least two of these municipalities have passed, the new policy seems to be taken and then started on the right foot. Good also the result of Novafeltria, which is to be reported in addition to the excellent result of the PD, the ability to stem the flow League, a strong presence in other municipalities of the Valmarecchia.

Looking at the provincial level the outcomes are different: the bad result of Rimini, the provincial capital and much more populous, pulls downward on the good work done by the party in the province. The 0.9% increase of Pd on a provincial basis is then to be tied to the "ballast" Rimini, still down from 33.2% last year to 32.46%, a slow decline which does not seem to oppose any specific desire, if not isolated.

Always on a provincial basis are also indicative of the votes cast for other parties: The UDC

rising from 4.4% to 3.1%, to inform the leader of this training on their weight in terms of representativeness, the lower the sum of the Federation of the Left and Sel-Verdi, they also heavily defeated by this election. Also inform our leaders about the importance of that party for the future and their true weight.

Cala IDV significantly, certainly in favor of the list Grillo, a real surprise of this round, which radicalizzerĂ  positions Di Pietro for the first time in comparison with a movement even more pure than his.

PDL and Northern League are stable with regard to the sum of the votes, so it is probably the electorate of the right (finding it increasingly difficult to call a center-right) that moves within the coalition from positions close to Berlusconi's other even more revolutionary and squads such as those of the League. Important

the game preferences: the UDC expressed preferences on 4591 474 votes of 10% of the vote; Federation of the Left 619 votes representing 14% of the League 2442 to 15.74%, the Movement 5 Stars 1755 equal to 16.27%, the IDV 838 equal to 8.51% of the vote, Sel 703 equivalent to 27.97% of the vote. The Democratic Party has expressed preference 13,484, equivalent to 26.44%.

Looking to the coalition then we see how a hypothetical alliance with the UDC does not necessarily entail a shift of votes to our party: vote "controlled" is in fact the lowest of all parties who have come forward, excluding the ' IDV, a party clearly of opinion and not really in this area.

also striking because of the league, which makes it a pride of the roots but does not reach good results in terms of preferences, and the PDL, which reaches 21,363 well express preferences that are the 43.45% of the vote, one thing to think about especially with regard to the cultural level of the electorate, still lower than is impossible to forget.

In looking at the regional figure, comparison with other provinces of Emilia-Romagna is disarming to our reality: only Piacenza, with a league to 22%, lags in Rimini for the figure of the Democratic Party. The reappointment of Errani won the famous "good governance", but the numbers show the same as sitting on our laurels is not possible even in the Emilian feud. The success of 5 Stars list also requires the President to undertake a high level of innovation in programs and in men who have to implement them, credibility and ability to become, as it should already be, essential to reaffirm the regional and local government and to create a new leadership capable to take over the party and administration within the next 5 years.

Pass the national plan and out.

say that was a victory is not possible, you can not even say that we have had. We lost all the north, tralaltro leaving the League, and Lazio, where despite a campaign of the Democratic Party is not too exciting, the nominee, radically secular, Emma Bonino is able to contend for the victory against the deployment Vatican-Center Right ritenprando the feelings of a base that did not live a long mobilization so genuine. Campania and Calabria we have not lost after the last government-Bassolino Loiero was simply impossible to win. We at the center and in Liguria, from which small consolation I just invigorates Vendola's victory, with a PD in only 21%.

Looking back a few months ago we can see how the regions in which the candidates were chosen by the primaries were all well re-confirmed with the exception of Calabria, Tuscany, Umbria and Puglia have all achieved excellent results. There are many advantages of the primaries, an election campaign which begins before, a strong and representative selection of the ruling class, a positive and democratic mobilization of our electorate.

Since voting is essential to understand how the elections are not won over by seeking the support of a moderate center that no longer exists. The center "Catholic" as it is often called, is crushed, non-existent, and analyze it well I think it's also reactionary in terms of rights and patronage in terms of money. Elections are won and radicalized their positions, PDL-League docet without chasing non-existent electors but also creating a just, culturally similar, compact in voting intentions. We are in the second republic and we must not fall into temptation proporzionalistiche that create a large olive tree, non-credible and politically in terms of programs.

I hope that does not begin an attack on the leadership of Bersani, I hope, however, that the policy followed so far has changed greatly ... for the alternative.

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